Tag Archives for Capitol Hill

Can nation survive Trump and GOP’s control of Capitol Hill?

Published in the Pawtucket TImes on January 9, 2017

Almost two months ago when GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump trounced his Democratic challenger Hillary Clinton and his party took control of both chamber of Congress. Trump’s surprising victory stunned both voters and political commentators and pundits covering the heated presidential race. According to a Nov. 16, 2016 Gallup Poll, 80 percent of Trump’s voters are “excited,” while 76 percent of Clinton’s voters say they are “afraid.” A large majority of the respondents (75 percent) shared one reaction: “surprise.”

Days after the tumultuous election, Darrell M. West, vice president and director of Governance Studies at the Washington, D.C.-based the Brookings Institution, penned his thoughts about how president-elect Trump might govern the divided nation. His posting, “Four Scenarios for a Trump Presidency,” can be found on the Brooking’s FixGov blog, written on Nov. 14, 2016.

Speculating on Trump’s White House Governance

In his 1,286-word blog, West, an American author, political scientist, pollical commentator who formerly taught Political Science at Brown University for 26 years, says that Trump might choose to govern as a traditional Republican endorsing tax cuts, deregulation and repealing Obamacare. Like other GOP politicians he would call for reinstituting law and order, fighting ISIS and other extremist militant groups and controlling illegal immigration from coming into this country. “These typical GOP positions might resolve his philosophical differences on “entitlement reform and free trade,” says West, an author or co-author of 22 books.

Trump just might even turn over the reins of the presidency to Vice President Mike Pence, House Speaker Paul Ryan and Chief of Staff Reince Priebus, says West, these individuals “becoming the de facto prime minister.”

According to West, like president-elect Trump did during the presidential campaign, he might take on the role of a “popular rogue.” A “populist Trump could break conventional political rules and “attack the political establishment to represent the little guy,” notes West’s blog posting.

West also suggests that Trump might ultimately fail as president. After all, he lost the popular vote by 2 percentage points — or nearly three million votes — and alienated women, millennials, minorities and immigrants with his insulting comments. Scandals and disclosures about his personal behavior and continuing concerns about serious financial conflicts of interest could derail his “honeymoon” phase at the beginning of his presidential term and negatively impact his popularity ratings, he says.

West also speculates in his blog that policy backlashes due to millions losing health care coverage by his push to repeal Obamacare, privatizing Medicare or gutting Social Security, a slow-down in the economy or even Trump’s continued liking of Russian President Vladimir Putin, might make him a one-term president, like President Jimmy Carter.

Finally, public outcry and violent protest may turn Trump into an authoritarian leader. If this happens West expresses concerns smear campaigns(waged by White House Strategist Steve Bannon), the use of federal agencies to “attack adversaries” and the use of local police to “crack down” on protestors. “Firing top intelligence officials would suggest that Trump wants compliant people who will do his bidding against foreign and domestic adversaries,” he says.

Big Changes with the GOP in Charge

“It is a scary time in American politics,” says West, who expects to see big changes on Capitol Hill in 2017. The Brookings political pundit predicts that a Trump White House with a GOP controlled Congress will tackle large tax cuts, corporate tax reform, repealing Obamacare (but not having anything to replace it with), and reversing the Dodd Frank financial regulation bill. With the Republicans controlling both chambers of Congress he does not expect gridlock during the first six months of the 115th Congress.

West predicts that, in the long-run, many of the GOP president and Republican Congressional leadership policy initiatives will be problematic. “They are governing as if they have a clear mandate even though they lost the popular vote, he says.

West, like some political observers, expects many of the GOP’s conservative policy proposals to hurt the people who voted for Trump. The tax cuts go disproportionately to the top one percent and proposed changes in Medicare and Medicaid will limit medical care, he said.

“In a couple of years, the economy probably will be much weaker than it is today, which will undermine the very rationale of Trump’s candidacy,” says West, noting that if this happens the newly-elected president could have a 30 percent job approval rating by 2018. “Of course, that is when he really will become dangerous! The risk is he may try things to improve his poll numbers, such as identifying scapegoats or confronting adversaries,” warns West.

“GOP Congressional leaders have plans to privatize Medicare and block grant Medicaid to the states. This will impose limitations on medical care and make it more difficulty for needy people to get the help they need,” adds West, who also sees Republicans moving to reduce home care and medical assistance to America’s elderly.

West sees the “GOP legislative initiatives as being very contentious politically, and will reinforce perceptions of the GOP as cold and heartless [to Americans].”

“Democrats will not be able to pass legislation. Their main power will be trying to block things they don’t like or stop nominations at confirmation hearings that they find problematic,” says West, noting that they will be put in a defensive posture. “They will seek to protect certain gains made during the Obama administration.

West believes that Trump’s fix for the economy will not work. “In the longer-run, there is a risk that inflation will go up. Interest rates already have risen in anticipation of this,” he says.

“The market is expecting Trump to spend a lot of money and not be able to corral spending by the same amount. That will increase deficits and drive up inflation. It will be hard to blame this on Democrats since there has been low inflation for years now. It will be pretty obvious that GOP policies are responsible for the rate increases,” West adds.

Democrats Mobilize, Video Sends Message to Congress

As president-elect Trump’s inauguration approaches, President Obama traveled to Capitol Hill last week to urge Congressional Democrats to block the GOP president and the Republican Congressional leadership’s efforts to dismantle Obamacare, the outgoing president’s signature healthcare reform law and to fight their legislative policy initiatives. Behind closed doors Obama urged Democratic lawmakers to not “rescue” the Republicans by passing replacement measures. He suggested calling the GOP’s new plan, “Trumpcare,” to ensure that they are held responsible for any disruptions in health coverage. At press time there seems to be no GOP health care plan to consider.

After Obama’s meeting Democrats lawmakers have begun using the phrase, “Make America Sick Again,” tying into Trump’s wildly recognized campaign slogan, “Make American Great Again.”

Hollywood is moving to block Trump’s policy initiatives. Almost a week ago documentarian Liz Garbus unveiled her one minute and 49 second video (#StandUpForUS), released by Humanity for Progress, to urge Congress to block any legislative initiatives pushed by Trump and his GOP allies that attack groups he marginalized during last year’s presidential campaign. Celebrities and activists lined up to participate in this video. They included Rosie Perez, Keegan-Michael Key, Tavi Gevinson, Lea Delaria, Sally Field, Steve Buscemi, Zoe Kazan, Jeffrey Wright and Janet Mock, among others.

“The majority of Americans, regardless of who they voted for, did not vote for racism, for sexism, or for xenophobia … and yet Donald Trump won,” notes the video. At the end of the video, viewers are asked to email the video to members of Congress, as well as to sign a petition on http://www.MoveOn.org, to resist Trump and the GOP agenda,

Stay Tuned

The aftermath of the 2017 presidential election has politically split our nation. Although Trump won the Electoral College, Clinton, the former secretary of state, pulled in over 64 million votes. Even without a clear legislative mandate President-elect Trump and Republican Congressional leadership are moving at a quick pace to make major policy and systemic changes during the first 100 days of the 115th Congress. Democrats are now forced to play the loyal opposition for the next four years and fight against GOP policies rammed through the legislative process. Will GOP legislative fixes push American in the right direction? Or will the nation survive these changes? Stay tuned.

Scully Selected to Head Federal Health care Agency

Published in the Pawtucket times on May 14, 2001

Thomas A. Scully, a Washington, D.C.-based health care association executive who holds a law degree from Catholic University and has previous experience on Capitol Hill as a senate staffer and as a high-level White House official, has been tapped by the new Bush administration to run the Health Care financing Administration (HCFA), the federal agency providing health care to 74 million Medicare, Medicaid and the State Children’s Health Insurance Program.

The nomination of Scully, president and CEO of the Federation of American Hospitals, a trade group that represents 1,700 for-profit hospitals, went to Capitol Hill in early May.  When confirmed as HCFA administrator by the U.S. Senate, Scully will replace Nancy Min DeParle, who left last October for a teaching stint at Harvard University. With her departure, a string of acting directors temporarily took the reins of the federal agency.

At press time, Jill Kozney, a spokesperson for Chairman Chuck Grassley of the Senate Finance Committee, stated that a confirmation hearing has not been scheduled yet. “Not every piece of paper work is in, but the chairman would like to act on the nomination as soon as possible,” the Senate staffer says.

A Washington Insider

As Washington insider, Scully brings a potpourri of health policy experiences to HCFA. The health care association executive comes with legal expertise gleaned from his legal practice, which focused on regulatory and legislative work in health care. Scully also brings an understanding of the intricacies of Capitol Hill, gained by serving as a staff assistant to U.S. Senator Slade Gorton (R-Wash.), and as associate director of the White House Office of Management and Budget (OMB) and later as deputy assistant to the president and counselor to the director of OMB under the senior Bush administration.

Ties to the former Bush administration were forged when Scully served on the communications staff of the Bush-Quayle campaign in 1988 and as deputy director of the congressional affairs for the president-elect’s transition team.

“Scully is smart, quotable, and politically savvy,” says Edward Howard, executive vice president of the Alliance for Health Care Reform. “He’s described as a problem solver rather than an ideologue,” Howard adds.

Howard expects Scully to turn his attention to internal problems at HCFA, because the agency has “substantial management problems.” He notes that HCFA has lost a number of good people and Congress will most certainly give the agency new tasks to handle.

“At least Scully will not have to spend one and a half years to learn about the programs he supervises, because he knows them well with his past OMB experience and at the Federation of American Hospitals,” Howard adds.

Bill Benson, former deputy assistant secretary for aging and president of the Maryland-based Benson Consulting Group, warns “Don’t look for Scully to, be much of a consumer advocate,” because he will be sympathetic to providers because of his ties to the hospital provider community.

“That does not mean Scully’s going to be in any position to get hospitals any more money but he will be more attuned to less regulation and more flexibility in rules, and regulations or health care providers,” Benson states.

According to Benson, one of Scully’s first tasks will be to carry out Health ad Human Service Secretary Tommy Thomson’s wish to reorganize HCFA because “this agency is one that everyone loves to hate, especially Republicans.”

Providers Rally Around Scully

Meanwhile, provider groups give thumbs up to Scully’s nomination as HCFA administration.

“Tom Scully has a unique combination of both real-world perspective and public service experience,” states Rick Pollack, executive vice president of the American Hospital Association. “That makes him a great choice for HCFA administrator.”

“From crafting Medicare regulation and budgets to building strong relationships with lawmakers on both sides of the aisle, Tom has the right mix of knowledge or the job,” Pollack adds.

In a letter being distributed to U.S. senators, who must vote to confirm Scully, Dr. Charles H. Roadman, II and AHCA Legislative Counsel Bruce Yarwood states: “As HCFA administrator, Tom Scully will have the responsibility for leading dramatic change.”

The opportunity for HCFA reform is the brightest it’s been in years,” Roadman predicted, expressing confidence that the controversial survey and enforcement apparatus will be closely scrutinized by Scully and the Bush White House.

In a public statement, the American Association of Homes and Services for the Aging’s senior vice president Suzanne M. Weiss states that her nonprofit provider group looks forward to working with the new HCFA administrator.

“As we look for ways to improve the current nursing home and inspection and enforcement system and reimbursement system.  We hope Mr. Scully will be o pen to our efforts in his new position,” Weiss says.