Study Calls for Action on Creating Senior Housing for Middle-Income Seniors

Published in the Woonsocket Call on August 18, 2019

A recently released report sends a stark warning to federal and state policy makers and to the private senior housing sector. The report forewarns that in the coming years, a large number of middle-income seniors, who need assisted living with supportive services, will be priced out of this level of care.

Seniors housing in the United States is paid out of pocket by seniors with sufficient assets. A relatively small percentage of Americans have long-term care insurance policies to defray the costs. For seniors with the lowest incomes, Medicaid covers housing only in the skilled nursing setting, but increasingly also covers long-term services and supports in home and community-based settings. Programs such as low-income housing tax credits have helped finance housing for economically-disadvantaged seniors.

The researchers call on the government and the senior housing sector to step up and to assist the projected 14.4 million middle-income people over age 75, many with multiple chronic conditions, who won’t be able to afford pricey senior housing.

According to this first-of-its-kind study that appears in the April 24 2019 edition of Health Affairs, 54 percent of middle-income older Americans will not be able to meet yearly costs of $60,000 for assisted living rent and other out-of-pocket medical costs a decade from now, even if they generated equity by selling their home and committing all of their annual financial resources. The figure skyrockets, to 81 percent, if middle-income seniors in 2019 were to keep the assets they built in their home but commit the reset of their annual financial resources to cover costs associated with seniors housing and care.

Accompanying the senior housing study are two perspective pieces in Health Affairs on how society can adapt to aging and supporting aging in communities.

The study, “The Forgotten Middle: Many Middle-Income Seniors Will Have Insufficient Resources For Housing And Health Care, was conducted by researchers at NORC at the University of Chicago, with funding provided by the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC), with additional support from AARP, the AARP Foundation, the John A. Hartford Foundation, and The SCAN Foundation.

Learning About the Needs of the Emerging ‘Middle Market’

“We still have a lot to learn about what the emerging ‘middle market’ wants from housing and personal care, but we know they don’t want to be forced to spend down into poverty, and we know that America cannot currently meet their needs,” said Bob Kramer, NIC’s founder and strategic adviser in a April 24, 2019, statement. “The future requires developing affordable housing and care options for middle-income seniors. This is a wake-up call to policymakers, real estate operators and investors,” he adds.

The report notes that significant financial challenges are expected to coincide with many middle-income seniors seeking seniors housing and care properties due to deteriorating health and other factors, such as whether a family member can serve as a caregiver. The study projects that by 2029, 60 percent of U.S. middle-income seniors over age 75 will have mobility limitations (8.7 million people), 67 percent will have three or more chronic conditions (9.6 million people), and 8 percent will have cognitive impairment (1.2 million people). For middle-income seniors age 85 and older, the prevalence of cognitive impairment nearly doubles.

The researchers say that this ‘middle market’ for seniors housing and care in 2029 will be more racially diverse, have higher educational attainment and income, and smaller families to recruit as unpaid caregivers than today’s seniors. Over the next 10 years, growth in the number of women will outpace men, with women comprising 58 percent of seniors 75 years old or older in 2029, compared to 56 percent in 2014, they say.

Bringing the Public and Private Sector Together

“In only a decade, the number of middle-income seniors will double, and most will not have the savings needed to meet their housing and personal care needs,” said Caroline Pearson, senior vice president at NORC at the University of Chicago and one of the study’s lead authors.

“Policymakers and the seniors housing community have a tremendous opportunity to develop solutions that benefit millions of middle-income people for years to come,” says Pearson.

Researchers say there is an opportunity for policymakers and the seniors housing and care sector to create an entirely new housing and care market for an emerging cohort of middle-income seniors not eligible for Medicaid and not able to pay for housing out of pocket in 2029.

The study’s analysis suggests that creating a new ‘middle market’ for seniors housing and care services will require innovations from the public and private sectors. Researchers say the private sectors can offer more basic housing products, better leverage technology, subsidize ‘middle-market’ residents with higher-paying residents, more robustly engage unpaid caregivers, and develop innovative real estate financing models, among other options.

As to the public sector, the researchers call on government to create incentives to build a robust new market for middle-income seniors by offering tax incentives targeted to the ‘middle market,’ expanding subsidy and voucher programs, expanding Medicare coverage of nonmedical services and supports, creating a Medicare benefit to cover long-term care, and broadening Medicaid’s coverage of home and community-based services.

“This research sets the stage for needed discussions about how the nation will care for seniors who don’t qualify for Medicaid but won’t be able to afford seniors housing,” said Brian Jurutka, NIC’s president and chief executive officer. “This discussion needs to include investors, care providers, policymakers, and developers working together to create a viable middle market for seniors housing and care,” he says.

Adds, Lisa Marsh Ryerson, President of AARP’s Foundation, “All seniors want to live in affordable, safe and supportive housing, and more than 19 million older adults are unable to do so. We must act now to implement innovative solutions – including robust aging-in-community efforts – to accommodate what is sure to be an increasing demand for housing that meets the needs of older adults.”

Is Rhode Island prepared to meet the senior housing needs of the state’s middle-income seniors in 2029? If not, the state’s federal delegation, lawmakers, state policy makers and the senior housing industry must begin to chip away at this looming policy issue.

To view the study, go to http://www.healthaffairs.org/doi/full/10.1377/hlthaff.2018.05233.

Aging Baby Boomers Woefully Unknowledgeable About Services

Published in Pawtucket Times on December 31, 2001

Are you a savvy shopper for services that you might one day need to purchase?

Many Americans are especially savvy when they purchase cars, electronic equipment or clothing.  But most are not when it comes to their knowledge of purchasing needed long-term care services, says a report recently released by AARP.

More than half (60 percent) of aging baby boomers age 45 plus say they are at least “somewhat familiar” with long-term care services currently available. However, they are woefully uninformed about the costs of, and funding sources for, long-term care services.

Yet with the graying of America’s population, the need for these services is expected to increase in the upcoming years. According to the 2000 U.S. Census Bureau projections, today’s 65 or older population numbers are expected to double to about 70 million in 2030, and the 85 and older population will also nearly double to about 8.5 million.  Those 85 years and older will be in the greatest need for nursing facility care.

“With the onset of the aging demographic revolution, essential that the general public not only learn about the long-term care options but understand their costs, and begin planning for their future care requirements,” said AARP CEO Bill Novelli. “Unfortunately, most of us pay little attention to the cost of such care until we or our loved ones needed it.  AARP sees  our role as informing and assisting people to make good choices.”

The AARP telephone survey asked a random sample of 1,800 Americans ages 45 and older questions  designed to measure their knowledge and understanding of the continuum of long-term care services, ranging from in-home care, assisted living to nursing home care.  In addition, to the national survey, five state-specific surveys were conducted with a random sample of 400 people age 45 and over in California, Florida, New Mexico, Washington and Wisconsin.

The survey findings suggested that aging baby boomers and seniors are generally not familiar or knowledgeable about the costs of long-term care services.  Only 15 percent could identify the cost of nursing  home care within plus or minus 20 percent of the national average of cost (about $ 4,654 per month).  Even 24 percent of those participating in the survey admitted that they did not even know the cost. And that’s not all – 51 percent estimated the cost too l ow.  So much for those savvy shoppers.

As for assisted-living facilities, one in four (27 percent) were able to come within a plus or minus 20 percent of the estimated median cost of care in an assisted-living facility while 38 percent said they did not know the national estimated median cost for assisted living per month, ranging from $ 2,000 and 2,500.

Meanwhile, survey participants continued to reveal their lack of knowledge by being generally unaware of how much an in-home visit from a skilled  nurse or aide costs.  The average Medicare reimbursement is $ 109 per a skilled nurse visit and $ 64 for a home visit by an aide.  The survey findings reported that they gave a wide range of answers, with no real consensus.  Thirty three percent even admitted they did not know the cost.

So, what about the aging baby boomers knowledge of long-term care insurance, one viable option to pay for the cost of long-term care services? About 31 percent said they have insurance that covers the cost of long-term care, when they probably didn’t.  Maybe it’s time for people to read the very small print in their insurance policies.  The Washington, D.C.-based Health Insurance Association of America estimates that only about 6 percent of Americas purchased such insurance.

Additionally, the survey respondents who said that they had insurance coverage for long-term care services were more likely to say they feel better prepared to meet the financial challenges of paying for care than those who say they do not have coverage (7 percent versus 39 percent).  This finding suggests that people who say that they long term care coverage when they do not may have a false sense of financial preparedness.

According to the new study, there is also a discrepancy between what people think Medicare and Medigap cover and what they actually cover.  More than half (55 percent), including those who say they are “very familiar” with long term care (58 percent), believe Medicare covers long-term nursing home stays.  And nearly a quarter say they would rely on Medicare to pay for such stays.  This is not the case.  Medicare does not cover long-term care nursing home stays.

The survey noted that 41 percent thought Medicare also covered assisted living care and more than 34 percent know whether it does or does not.  Medicare does not pay for assisted living.  And 57 percent correctly said that Medicare covers the cost of in-home visits from a skilled nurse. However, many respondents did not understand the difference between a home visit from a skilled nurse and a home visit by a home health aide.

More than half (52 percent) thought Medicare covers aide visits. In fact, Medicare covers only home health aide services for care that is medically necessary, not custodial care.

Kathleen S. Connell, AARP State Director, notes that this research study highlights the big gap between consumers understanding of long-term care services and its associated costs.  She adds that the findings reveal a great deal of confusion as to what long term care services are covered by Medicare and Medicaid.

“Aging baby boomers are now facing decisions regarding the purchase of long-term care services for their older parents. They will also be forced to deal with their need for services as they age and as longevity increases,” Connell says. “Consumers need to be come better informed about what Medicare and Medicaid pays for available long term care options for services that are actual costs of care.  They need to investigate different long term care insurance options, too,” she urges.

In Rhode Island there is a general recognition in agencies assisting seniors of the need for educating consumers and putting information into the hands of people who need it, Connell notes, adding that information specialists are available in local senior centers to assist in this effort.

Don’t wait until a sudden health crisis forces you to shop around for long-term care services.  Start today Become a savvy shopper by increasing your knowledge and understanding of different long-term care service options and  their associated costs.  Learn more about government financing programs, specifically Medicare and Medicaid, and private senior financing with long-term care insurance and Medigap policies.